Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Catanzaro
21.6%
Draw
12.8%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Catanzaro
vs
0.82
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).