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AHT: 02CSV

15 Jan 2023 · 10:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.6%
Umraniyespor
27.5%
Draw
13.9%
Istanbulspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.85

Umraniyespor

vs
0.84

Istanbulspor

Markets

BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
4-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).