Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.1%
Pordenone
30.1%
Draw
42.8%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Pordenone
vs
1.34
Livorno
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).