Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Preston
28.6%
Draw
24.4%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Preston
vs
0.98
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).