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28 Sept 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Dender
32.9%
Draw
36.0%
La Louvière

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Dender

vs
0.99

La Louvière

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.529.4%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.6%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).