Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
La Coruna
23.4%
Draw
38.8%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
La Coruna
vs
1.59
Santander
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).