Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Werder Bremen
30.6%
Draw
35.6%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Werder Bremen
vs
1.14
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).