Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.2%
Coventry
15.5%
Draw
7.3%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
Coventry
vs
0.68
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).