Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.7%
Guimaraes
21.2%
Draw
64.1%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Guimaraes
vs
1.82
Benfica
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).