Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.7%
Galatasaray
12.5%
Draw
2.9%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.96
Galatasaray
vs
0.53
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
3-0
13.2%
4-0
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
1-1
6.0%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
4.3%
5-1
3.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).