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AHT: 10

24 Jan 2026 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.6%
FC Koln
17.7%
Draw
11.7%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

2.49

FC Koln

vs
0.94

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).