Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Atalanta
22.3%
Draw
11.4%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Atalanta
vs
0.54
Lecce
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.0%
2-0
15.4%
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).