Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Slimbridge
32.1%
Draw
46.4%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Slimbridge
vs
1.07
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS30.0%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.550.0%
Over 2.524.0%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.1%
0-0
18.1%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-2
2.0%
0-4
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).