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23 Aug 2025 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.8%
Dinamo Moskva
15.1%
Draw
6.2%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

2.63

Dinamo Moskva

vs
0.65

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
4-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
2.8%
5-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).