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DHT: 10

08 Dec 2024 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.2%
Puszcza Niepołomice
22.5%
Draw
56.3%
Jagiellonia Białystok

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
2.09

Jagiellonia Białystok

Markets

BTTS62.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
1-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).