Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Setubal
27.7%
Draw
29.0%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Setubal
vs
0.95
Aves
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).