Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Chesterfield
21.4%
Draw
21.4%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Chesterfield
vs
1.33
Torquay
Markets
BTTS66.5%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.0%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).