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06 Aug 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.2%
FC Koln
20.2%
Draw
29.6%
Laverstock & Ford

Expected Goals (xG)

2.15

FC Koln

vs
1.63

Laverstock & Ford

Markets

BTTS70.8%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
2-0
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).