Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Roma
25.1%
Draw
19.3%
Bologna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Roma
vs
0.80
Bologna
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).