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DHT: 10CSV

07 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
La Coruna
25.4%
Draw
19.3%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

La Coruna

vs
0.79

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).