Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Preston
32.2%
Draw
27.6%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Preston
vs
0.91
Oxford
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.8%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).