Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Carlisle
26.9%
Draw
49.1%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Carlisle
vs
1.35
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).