Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.9%
Sociedad
10.3%
Draw
4.8%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Sociedad
vs
0.67
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
2.5%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).