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08 May 2026 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.9%
Virtus Entella
31.4%
Draw
31.7%
Carrarese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Virtus Entella

vs
1.07

Carrarese

Markets

BTTS46.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).