Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Charlton
23.0%
Draw
21.8%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Charlton
vs
0.89
Luton
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).