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AHT: 01

14 Mar 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Rostov
29.4%
Draw
41.1%
Dinamo Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Rostov

vs
1.40

Dinamo Moskva

Markets

BTTS53.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).