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12 Dec 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
King’s Lynn
27.6%
Draw
41.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

King’s Lynn

vs
1.47

Torquay

Markets

BTTS56.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).