Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Boavista
26.1%
Draw
36.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Boavista
vs
1.23
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).