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DHT: 01CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Como
28.8%
Draw
30.4%
Palermo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Como

vs
1.18

Palermo

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).