Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Bedfont Sports
15.5%
Draw
22.5%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.23
Bedfont Sports
vs
2.03
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS83.3%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.596.6%
Over 2.589.5%
Over 3.576.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
4-2
4.9%
4-1
4.8%
3-3
4.1%
2-3
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
1-1
3.3%
4-3
3.3%
5-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).