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14 Jan 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Andorra
31.6%
Draw
32.2%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Andorra

vs
0.91

Leganes

Markets

BTTS37.3%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
13.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).