Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Girona
26.4%
Draw
26.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Girona
vs
1.06
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).