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22 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Kasimpasa
34.0%
Draw
21.9%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Kasimpasa

vs
0.91

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.0%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
4.0%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).