Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Ayr
31.3%
Draw
30.4%
Inverness C
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Ayr
vs
1.14
Inverness C
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).