Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
AFC Wimbledon
29.0%
Draw
42.3%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.15
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).