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29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.4%
Gateshead
18.5%
Draw
72.1%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Gateshead

vs
2.29

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.9%
0-1
10.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-4
5.6%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
1-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).