Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Palermo
28.9%
Draw
18.8%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Palermo
vs
0.79
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).