Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Crewe
22.5%
Draw
20.8%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Crewe
vs
0.96
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).