Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.4%
Rio Ave
16.9%
Draw
75.8%
Benfica
Expected Goals (xG)
0.62
Rio Ave
vs
2.36
Benfica
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.2%
0-1
11.5%
0-3
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
6.9%
0-4
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
1-4
4.1%
0-5
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).