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DHT: 20CSV

23 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Fylde
27.2%
Draw
46.7%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Fylde

vs
1.56

Halifax

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).