Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.9%
Bayern Munich
7.0%
Draw
2.1%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
3.57
Bayern Munich
vs
0.51
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.577.3%
Over 3.558.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.9%
4-0
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
5-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
5-1
4.2%
1-1
3.3%
0-0
1.9%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).