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HHT: 10CSV

18 Mar 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.2%
St Truiden
14.8%
Draw
7.0%
Seraing

Expected Goals (xG)

2.58

St Truiden

vs
0.66

Seraing

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.0%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
7.1%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
5-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).