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30 Aug 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.9%
Fenerbahce
22.5%
Draw
11.6%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Fenerbahce

vs
0.93

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).