Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Spal
29.6%
Draw
21.3%
Virtus Entella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Spal
vs
0.85
Virtus Entella
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).