Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Lens
21.0%
Draw
9.9%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Lens
vs
0.50
Angers
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
16.2%
0-0
9.9%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).