Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Montpellier
25.7%
Draw
28.3%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Montpellier
vs
0.97
Red Star
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).