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AHT: 10CSV

05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.1%
Dundee
22.9%
Draw
23.9%
Kilmarnock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Dundee

vs
1.29

Kilmarnock

Markets

BTTS63.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).