Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Valenciennes
22.8%
Draw
61.1%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Valenciennes
vs
1.61
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
10.1%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).