Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.2%
Granada
27.1%
Draw
23.7%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Granada
vs
0.87
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).