Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Benfica
31.8%
Draw
32.6%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Benfica
vs
0.87
Porto
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.526.6%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.1%
1-0
16.0%
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).